Decarbonization Pathways

Paper

Key info 1: Projections to achieve net zero

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Comparison of the scenarios’ CO2 emissions All scenarios show a sharp short-term decline of CO2 emissions by 2020 (compared to 2015), which can be attributed to the closing down of two 40-year old coal-fired power plant units by the end of 2016 (see Figure S3). These closures will reduce annual CO2 emissions by roughly 6 million tons compared to emissions in 2015. This will, however, be partly compensated for by the Moerdijk steam cracker, which is assumed to soon resume full operation, as well as Exxon’s new hydrocracker, which will require additional hydrogen production (leading to additional CO2 emissions). The only short-term difference between the scenarios can be seen in the CYC-ECE, in which it is assumed that one of the recently built new coal-fired power plant units will be closed down already in 2019. P14

Key info 2: New means of Production

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  1. Offshore wind
  2. Bio-based Chemistry
  3. Demand-Side-Management & Energy Storage
  4. CO2 transport & Storage
  5. Use of Water
  6. Synthetic Fuels
  7. Carbon-Neutral Primary Steel production

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